Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#158
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#153
Pace62.7#332
Improvement-0.7#210

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#225
First Shot-0.7#200
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#290
Layup/Dunks+1.2#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement-2.2#285

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#106
First Shot+3.3#73
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#248
Layups/Dunks+2.2#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#20
Freethrows+0.6#128
Improvement+1.5#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 235   @ UC Davis W 79-71 OT 58%     1 - 0 +6.4 +3.5 +2.2
  Nov 15, 2015 109   Illinois L 74-80 37%     1 - 1 -2.1 -2.4 +0.7
  Nov 25, 2015 153   Montana W 73-53 60%     2 - 1 +17.9 +2.8 +16.2
  Nov 28, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 77-56 93%     3 - 1 +4.5 -0.9 +6.4
  Dec 01, 2015 18   @ Iowa St. L 64-84 6%     3 - 2 -1.7 -7.1 +6.4
  Dec 04, 2015 257   @ Arkansas St. W 74-73 63%     4 - 2 -2.1 -1.8 -0.3
  Dec 06, 2015 302   @ Southern Miss L 62-74 74%     4 - 3 -18.3 -7.0 -12.6
  Dec 11, 2015 200   @ North Dakota W 69-67 50%     5 - 3 +2.5 -1.9 +4.4
  Dec 16, 2015 252   Montana St. W 73-64 80%     6 - 3 +0.6 -3.2 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2015 276   Idaho St. W 67-62 77%     7 - 3 -2.4 -13.4 +10.6
  Dec 22, 2015 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-50 93%     8 - 3 +2.1 -7.0 +10.8
  Dec 23, 2015 133   @ Utah St. L 62-76 32%     8 - 4 -8.8 -9.7 +0.4
  Jan 03, 2016 191   Denver W 75-49 69%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +21.2 +16.2 +11.0
  Jan 07, 2016 147   Nebraska Omaha L 82-91 59%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -10.9 -0.8 -9.5
  Jan 09, 2016 183   @ Oral Roberts L 65-66 45%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +0.7 -3.4 +4.0
  Jan 13, 2016 226   South Dakota W 66-65 75%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -5.7 -9.0 +3.4
  Jan 16, 2016 95   South Dakota St. W 68-57 40%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +13.9 -0.6 +15.1
  Jan 21, 2016 132   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-79 32%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +0.2 -4.7 +5.2
  Jan 23, 2016 240   @ Western Illinois W 65-52 58%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +11.2 -1.9 +14.3
  Jan 31, 2016 213   @ IUPUI L 72-73 53%     12 - 8 4 - 4 -1.4 +5.2 -6.6
  Feb 04, 2016 183   Oral Roberts W 67-63 67%     13 - 8 5 - 4 -0.2 +5.0 -4.2
  Feb 06, 2016 132   Purdue Fort Wayne W 62-46 54%     14 - 8 6 - 4 +15.4 -6.6 +24.0
  Feb 11, 2016 226   @ South Dakota L 58-72 55%     14 - 9 6 - 5 -14.9 -16.2 +0.9
  Feb 13, 2016 147   @ Nebraska Omaha L 69-76 37%     14 - 10 6 - 6 -3.1 -6.8 +3.9
  Feb 17, 2016 240   Western Illinois W 63-54 78%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +1.4 -3.6 +6.3
  Feb 20, 2016 213   IUPUI W 63-59 74%     16 - 10 8 - 6 -2.2 -6.7 +4.7
  Feb 25, 2016 95   @ South Dakota St. L 59-71 21%     16 - 11 8 - 7 -3.3 -4.0 -0.5
  Feb 27, 2016 191   @ Denver L 59-70 48%     16 - 12 8 - 8 -10.0 -2.2 -10.0
  Mar 06, 2016 213   IUPUI W 60-45 64%     17 - 12 +11.7 -5.3 +18.7
  Mar 07, 2016 132   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-68 43%     18 - 12 +3.3 -3.2 +6.5
  Mar 08, 2016 95   South Dakota St. L 59-67 30%     18 - 13 -2.2 -1.5 -2.1
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%